HUMAN BIOLOGICAL AGE: REGRESSION AND NEURAL NETWORK MODELS
А.V. Pisaruk1, V.B. Shatilo1, I.A. Antoniuk-Shcheglova1, S.S. Naskalova1, O.V. Bondarenko1, V.P. Chyzhova1, V.V. Shatilo2, L.G. Polyagushko2
- D.F. Chebotarev Institute of Gerontology NAMS of
Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
- Ihor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine
DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/fz69.02.003
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to develop methods for
determining the biological age (BA) and the pace of human
aging based on anthropometric and biochemical laboratory
biomarkers, comparing the accuracy of BA determination using
regression and neural network analysis. In 735 practically
healthy people aged from 20 to 79, we determined the blood
plasma concentrations of glucose and insulin and the blood
serum concentrations of total cholesterol, cholesterol of high,
low and very-low density lipoproteins, triglycerides, urea,
creatinine, transaminases, and alkaline phosphatase. Also,
we conducted anthropometric measurements and a standard
oral glucose tolerance test and calculated the HOMA index.
Age recognition was carried out using regression and neural
network analysis. The multiple regression equation, which
connects the examinees age with their biochemical laboratory
parameters, allows to calculate the metabolic age of a person
with an absolute error of 6.92 years. This accuracy is sufficient
to reveal people at risk of accelerated aging. The use of a neural
network algorithm with deep learning allows to determine the
metabolic age with an error of 4.57 years, which is sufficient to
distinguish between physiological and accelerated aging. The
use of a neural network algorithm with deep learning increases
the accuracy of determining a person’s metabolic age, the error
of its determination is reduced by 40%.
Keywords:
biological age; anthropometric and biochemical biomarkers; regression and neural network models.
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